Acne Vulgaris – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032

Acne Vulgaris Market Outlook and Forecast

Acne Vulgaris – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032

Published Date : 2022-08-04

Updated On : 2023-07-01

Pages : 159

Acne Vulgaris Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Acne Vulgaris Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Acne Vulgaris treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Acne Vulgaris Overview

Acne vulgaris, a prevalent pilosebaceous unit inflammatory skin disorder, follows a persistent course. Typically presenting as papules, pustules, or nodules, it primarily occurs on the face but can also impact the upper arms, trunk, and back. The development of acne results from the sebaceous glands' heightened sensitivity to normal androgen levels, aggravated by Cutibacterium acnes (formerly known as Propionibacterium acnes), a bacterial species that triggers inflammation. The pathogenesis of acne vulgaris involves a complex interplay of factors such as the activation of sebaceous glands by androgens, imbalances in the pilosebaceous follicle microbiome, and cellular immune responses. Genetic predisposition and dietary influences also contribute to the condition's onset and progression. The initial stage is the micro-comedo, a small plug primarily composed of corneocytes in the lower follicular infundibulum. Microcomedones evolve into various acne lesions, including closed comedones (whiteheads), open comedones (blackheads), and inflammatory papules, pustules, and nodules. This progression is believed to be driven by four main pathogenic events:

  1. Increased sebum production (seborrhea)
  2. Follicular hyperkeratinization
  3. Presence of C acnes
  4. Inflammation

For patients diagnosed with acne fulminans, a comprehensive assessment, including blood tests like complete blood count, liver function tests, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and C-reactive protein, is recommended. The primary treatment for mild acne vulgaris involves topical therapy, often using topical retinoids, antibiotics, and benzoyl peroxide. The differential diagnoses for acne vulgaris encompass a broad range, including:

  • Distinguishing rosacea from acne involves noting the absence of comedones and the presence of telangiectasia.
  • Perioral dermatitis is marked by erythematous papules around the mouth, unlike acne vulgaris.
  • Demodex folliculitis is suspected when standard acne or rosacea treatments fail to work, causing inflammatory papules and pustules.
  • Facial angiofibroma in tuberous sclerosis is visible as pink or red papules on the cheeks and nose, typically in children.
  • Pseudofolliculitis barbae appears as inflammatory papules, pustules, and scarring in the beard area of individuals with tightly curved hair.

Overall, with proper treatment, acne has a favorable prognosis. Although not life-threatening, it can have enduring psychological impacts, causing heightened anxiety and depression, particularly for those with scars. The complications associated with acne vulgaris encompass: - Psychological effects, including lowered self-esteem, depression, and anxiety, either due to visible skin changes during flare-ups or disfiguring scars.

  • Acne is the most prevalent skin condition in the United States, affecting approximately 50 million Americans annually.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2022-2032

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Acne Vulgaris Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 Trifarotene 0.005 % Teva Pharmaceuticals USA Phase 3
2 Sarecycline Almirall, S.A. Phase 3
3 Adapalene-Clindamycin Combination Gel Lee's Pharmaceutical Limited Phase 3
4 SB204 4% Novan, Inc. Phase 3
5 Azelaic Acid Gel 15% (Finacea, BAY39-6251) LEO Pharma Phase 3
6 S6G5T-3 Sol-Gel Technologies, Ltd. Phase 3
7 Dapsone gel 7.5% Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited Phase 3
8 Adapalene/Benzoyl Peroxide Galderma R&D Phase 3
9 Epiduo® Forte Ge Actavis Inc. Phase 3
10 DFD-03 Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Phase 3

Continued...

KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 17
GERMANY 4
UK 4
SPAIN 3
FRANCE 2
ITALY 3
JAPAN 3
CHINA 4

Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast

1.  Acne Vulgaris – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Acne Vulgaris market scenario 2022
                     1.2.2. Acne Vulgaris market scenario 2025
                     1.2.3. Acne Vulgaris market scenario 2032

2. Acne Vulgaris Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Acne Vulgaris
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Acne Vulgaris Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Acne Vulgaris management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Acne Vulgaris
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Acne Vulgaris

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1. Acne Vulgaris Epidemiology in US (2022-2032)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Acne Vulgaris
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2. Acne Vulgaris Epidemiology in EU-5 (2022-2032)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Acne Vulgaris
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3. Acne Vulgaris Epidemiology in Japan (2022-2032)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Acne Vulgaris
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4. Acne Vulgaris Epidemiology in China (2022-2032)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Acne Vulgaris
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Acne Vulgaris Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Acne Vulgaris
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Acne Vulgaris Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Acne Vulgaris
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Acne Vulgaris Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer