Published Date : 2022-08-01
Published Date : 2022-08-01
Updated On : 2023-07-08
Pages : 157
Thelansis’s “Smallpox Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Smallpox treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).
Smallpox is a highly contagious disease caused by the variola virus. There are two forms of smallpox: variola major and variola minor. The symptoms of smallpox include high fever, chills, body and headaches, and occasionally vomiting. The rash develops into raised bumps and pus-filled blisters that crust, scab, and fall off after approximately three weeks, resulting in pitting scars. It can be spread through direct contact, body fluid contact, and inhaling aerosolized particles. The disease manifests 7-17 days (average incubation 12 days) after exposure, with high fever, myalgia, and headache. It can be spread through airborne droplets until the scabs fall off. Some patients may experience a temperature spike 3-5 days after the onset of symptoms, which may indicate a secondary bacterial infection and increased mortality. The risk of smallpox infection depends on the patient's symptoms during the prodrome period. Patients are classified as high-risk if they meet all three major criteria, moderate-risk if they have a typical prodrome and meet one major or ≥4 minor criteria, and low-risk if they have ≥4 minor criteria with or without a febrile prodrome.
North America- the United States and Canada
Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)
Other countries- Japan & China
This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.
KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs
- Data Inputs with sourcing
- Market Event and Product Event
- Country-specific Forecast Model
- Market uptake and patient share uptake
- Attribute Analysis
- Analog Analysis
- Disease burden and pricing scenario
- Summary and Insights
Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.
The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.
Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.
This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.
S. no | Asset | Company | Stage |
1 | IMVAMUNE (Liquid Formulation) | Bavarian Nordic | Phase 3 |
2 | Brincidofovir | Emergent BioSolutions | Phase 1 |
3 | TPOXX | SIGA Technologies | Phase 3 |
KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.
COUNTRY | No. Of KOLs |
USA | 17 |
GERMANY | 4 |
UK | 4 |
SPAIN | 3 |
FRANCE | 2 |
ITALY | 3 |
JAPAN | 3 |
CHINA | 4 |
Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.
1. Smallpox – Key Findings Summary |
1.1. Clinical findings |
1.1.1. Disease overview |
1.1.2. Therapeutic practices |
1.1.3. Future outlook |
1.2. Commercial findings |
1.2.1. Smallpox market scenario 2022 |
1.2.2. Smallpox market scenario 2025 |
1.2.3. Smallpox market scenario 2032 |
2. Smallpox Overview |
2.1. Disease Introduction |
2.2. Pathophysiology |
2.3. Signs and Symptoms |
2.4. Risk Factors |
2.5. Etiology |
2.6. Classification |
2.7. Pathogenesis |
2.8. Diagnosis |
2.9. Complications |
2.10. Treatment Algorithm |
2.10.1. Treatment in US (guidelines) |
2.10.2. Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines) |
2.10.3. Treatment in Japan (guidelines) |
2.10.4. Treatment in China (guidelines) |
2.11. Treatment Goals for Smallpox |
2.12. Referral Patterns |
2.12.1. Referral Scenario in US |
2.12.2. Referral Scenario in EU-5 |
2.12.3. Referral Scenario in Japan |
2.12.4. Referral Scenario in China |
2.13. Smallpox Prognosis |
2.14. Healthcare burden |
2.14.1. Healthcare burden in US |
2.14.2. Healthcare burden in EU-5 |
2.14.3. Healthcare burden in Japan |
2.14.4. Healthcare burden in China |
2.15. Unmet Needs in Smallpox management |
2.16. Market Opportunity for Smallpox |
2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Smallpox |
3. Epidemiology |
3.1. Epidemiology Overview |
3.2. Epidemiology by Geography |
3.2.1. Smallpox Epidemiology in US (2022-2032) |
3.2.1.1. Incidence of Smallpox |
3.2.1.2. Diagnosed cases |
3.2.1.3. Treatable Patient Pool |
3.2.1.4. Epidemiology Trends |
3.2.2. Smallpox Epidemiology in EU-5 (2022-2032) |
3.2.2.1. Incidence of Smallpox |
3.2.2.2. Diagnosed cases |
3.2.2.3. Treatable Patient Pool |
3.2.2.4. Epidemiology Trends |
3.2.3. Smallpox Epidemiology in Japan (2022-2032) |
3.2.3.1. Incidence of Smallpox |
3.2.3.2. Diagnosed cases |
3.2.3.3. Treatable Patient Pool |
3.2.3.4. Epidemiology Trends |
3.2.4. Smallpox Epidemiology in China (2022-2032) |
3.2.4.1. Incidence of Smallpox |
3.2.4.2. Diagnosed cases |
3.2.4.3. Treatable Patient Pool |
3.2.4.4. Epidemiology Trends |
3.3. Epidemiology Trends (World-wide) |
4. Market Outlook |
4.1. US Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.1.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.1.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.1.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.2. UK Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.2.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.2.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.2.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.3. France Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.3.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.3.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.3.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.4. Germany Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.4.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.4.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.4.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.5. Italy Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.5.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.5.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.5.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.6. Spain Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.6.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.6.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.6.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.7. Japan Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.7.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.7.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.7.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.8. China Smallpox Market Forecast 2022-2032 |
4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic) |
4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations |
4.8.2.1. Worst case scenario |
4.8.2.2. Base Case Scenario |
4.8.2.3. Best Case Scenario |
4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers |
4.9. Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market |
5. Competitive Landscape |
5.1. Pipeline Therapies Overview |
5.1.1. Phase III Therapies |
5.1.1.1. Current Status |
5.1.1.2. Trial details, results |
5.1.1.3. Approval Timeline |
5.1.1.4. Likelihood of approval |
5.1.1.5. Expected Product Positioning |
5.1.1.2. All other Phase III Therapies ….. |
5.1.1.3. Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules |
5.1.2. Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies |
5.1.2.1. Current Status |
5.1.2.2. Trial details, results |
5.1.2.3. Approval Timelines |
5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies |
5.1.3.1. Status in Smallpox |
5.1.3.2. Company positioning |
5.1.3.2. All other pre-clinical therapies |
5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets |
5.1.4.1. Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline |
5.1.5. Potential winners from Smallpox Pipeline |
5.1.5.1. Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline |
6. Regulatory/Approval Scenario |
6.1. Regulatory/Approval Framework in US |
6.1.1. Policy Framework |
6.1.2. Payer Expectations |
6.2. Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK |
6.2.1. Policy Framework |
6.2.2. Payer Expectations |
6.3. Regulatory/Approval Framework in France |
6.3.1. Policy Framework |
6.3.2. Payer Expectations |
6.4. Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany |
6.4.1. Policy Framework |
6.4.2. Payer Expectations |
6.5. Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy |
6.5.1. Policy Framework |
6.5.2. Payer Expectations |
6.6. Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain |
6.6.1. Policy Framework |
6.6.2. Payer Expectations |
6.7. Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan |
6.7.1. Policy Framework |
6.7.2. Payer Expectations |
6.8. Regulatory/Approval Framework in China |
6.8.1. Policy Framework |
6.8.2. Payer Expectations |
7. Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm |
7.1. Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials |
7.2. Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials |
7.3. Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints |
7.4. Key Investigator initiated trials |
7.5. Attrition analysis |
7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets |
7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact |
7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact |
7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact |
7.6. Trial enrollment scenario and challenges |
7.7. Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies) |
8. Thelansis Commentary |
8.1. Key Unmet needs in Smallpox |
8.2. Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies |
8.3. Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP) |
8.4. Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies |
8.5. Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies |
8.6. Possible Best-case LCM Strategies |
8.7. Overall View on Smallpox Market in Dollar Value |
9. Report Methodology |
9.1. Secondary research |
9.2. Primary research |
9.3. Data collation |
9.4. Insight Generation |
10. About Thelansis |
10.1. Our Capabilities |
10.2. Our Services |
10.3. Our Contacts |
10.4. Disclaimer |