Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032

Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) Market Outlook and Forecast

Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032

Published Date : 2022-09-16

Updated On : 2023-10-30

Pages : 154

Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2022 To 2032" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Overview

Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) stands out among the various forms of multiple sclerosis due to its unique characteristic of presenting as a progressively worsening condition from the onset of the disease. In contrast to relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS), where symptoms come and go in episodes, PPMS is marked by a continuous deterioration of neurological function. Approximately 10% of all multiple sclerosis patients receive a diagnosis of PPMS, making it a relatively less common but impactful subtype of the disease. The precise cause of PPMS remains unknown, adding to the complexity of understanding and treating this form of multiple sclerosis. Patients typically receive a PPMS diagnosis in their mid-to-late 30s, a stage of life where the impact on daily functioning and quality of life can be particularly challenging. Noteworthy is the observation that primary progressive multiple sclerosis may exhibit a higher prevalence in men compared to the relapsing/remitting disease group. This potentially leads to an equal male-to-female sex ratio or even a slight male preponderance among individuals with PPMS. Symptomatically, individuals living with PPMS often experience manifestations similar to those with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. However, weakness in leg muscles and difficulties with walking tend to be more prevalent in PPMS, further distinguishing it from other subtypes. One of the challenges in managing PPMS is the need for more understanding of its immunological findings compared to other forms of the disease. This knowledge gap underscores the need for further research to elucidate the underlying mechanisms driving the progressive nature of PPMS.

  • In March 2017, the US Food and Drug Administration approved Ocrevus (ocrelizumab) to address relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (MS) and primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) in adult patients. This is the first drug approved by the FDA for PPMS.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2022-2032

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 Laquinimod Teva Branded Pharmaceutical Products R&D, Inc. Phase 2
2 Tolebrutinib Sanofi Phase 3
3 Dimethyl fumarate Biogen Phase 2
4 GA Depot Mapi Pharma Ltd. Phase 2
5 ATA188 Atara Biotherapeutics Phase 2
6 Ocrelizumab Hoffmann-La Roche Phase 3
7 Masitinib AB Science Phase 3
8 Ixazomib Takeda Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. Phase 1
9 Ibudilast MediciNova Phase 2
10 KYV-101 Kyverna Therapeutics Phase 1

Continued...

KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 17
GERMANY 4
UK 4
SPAIN 3
FRANCE 2
ITALY 3
JAPAN 3
CHINA 4

Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast

1.  Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) market scenario 2022
                     1.2.2. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) market scenario 2025
                     1.2.3. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) market scenario 2032

2. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Epidemiology in US (2022-2032)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Epidemiology in EU-5 (2022-2032)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Epidemiology in Japan (2022-2032)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4. Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Epidemiology in China (2022-2032)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market Forecast 2022-2032
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS)
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (PPMS) Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer