Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Outlook and Forecast

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Published Date : 2023-05-31

Updated On : 2024-04-14

Pages : 158

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Overview

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic condition characterized by lung scar tissue, developing gradually over several years and without any known cause. The primary symptoms associated with IPF are exercise-induced shortness of breath and a persistent, dry cough. IPF falls under interstitial lung disease (ILD), more accurately referred to as diffuse parenchymal lung disease (DPLD). Within this broad classification of lung disorders, IPF belongs explicitly to a subgroup known as idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP). The typical age of presentation for IPF is around 66 years. Initial symptoms often include exertional breathlessness and persistent dry cough. When examining the lungs of IPF patients, healthcare providers frequently detect early inspiratory crackling sounds, mainly in the lower posterior lung regions. Approximately 50% of IPF patients may also exhibit clubbing of the fingers. Over time, exertional dyspnea worsens progressively, spanning months to years. IPF can be identified through high-resolution computed tomography, which reveals peripheral subpleural reticular opacities in the lower lung lobes, often accompanied by subpleural honeycomb changes. Differential diagnosis involves distinguishing IPF from other idiopathic interstitial pneumonias, connective tissue diseases such as systemic sclerosis, polymyositis, and rheumatoid arthritis, as well as various forms of autoimmune disorders and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis. Environmental and sometimes occupational exposures are also taken into consideration. Current international guidelines recommend two medications, pirfenidone and nintedanib, for treating IPF. These medications are known to slow down the progression of the disease, as evidenced by a roughly 50% reduction in the decline of forced vital capacity. They are considered safe and effective.

  • IPF affects approximately 132,000 individuals in the United States, with around 50,000 new diagnoses made each year.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2023-2033

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 GB0139 Galecto Biotech AB Phase 2
2 Orvepitant Maleate Nerre Therapeutics Ltd. Phase 2
3 Nalbuphine Trevi Therapeutics Phase 2
4 HZN-825 Amgen Phase 2
5 FG-3019 FibroGen Phase 1
6 TTI-101 Tvardi Therapeutics, Incorporated Phase 2
7 GLPG1205 Galapagos NV Phase 2
8 LYT-100 (deupirfenidone) PureTech Phase 2
9 SHR-1906 Guangdong Hengrui Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd Phase 2
10 PLN-74809 Pliant Therapeutics, Inc. Phase 2

Continued...

KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 17
GERMANY 4
UK 4
SPAIN 3
FRANCE 2
ITALY 3
JAPAN 3
CHINA 4

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast

1.       Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) market scenario 2023
                     1.2.2. Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) market scenario 2028
                     1.2.3. Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) market scenario 2033

2.       Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1.  Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Epidemiology in US (2023-2033)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2.  Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Epidemiology in EU-5 (2023-2033)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3.  Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Epidemiology in Japan (2023-2033)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4.  Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Epidemiology in China (2023-2033)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer