Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Outlook and Forecast

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Published Date : 2023-05-29

Updated On : 2024-04-10

Pages : 159

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Overview

Extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) is characterized by rapid and widespread growth, making it one of the most lethal forms of cancer. Unlike limited-stage SCLC (LS-SCLC), which has not yet metastasized and can potentially be cured, ES-SCLC is not curable. ES-SCLC is characterized by widespread lung tumor growth, involvement of the other lung, lymph nodes on the opposite side of the chest, or other parts of the body. It may also extend to the fluid surrounding the lungs. Due to its rapid and early metastasis, most individuals with small-cell lung cancer are diagnosed with extensive-stage disease before symptoms become apparent. In most cases, patients diagnosed with ES-SCLC who undergo chemotherapy and prophylactic cranial irradiation still experience persistent intrathoracic disease. The prognosis for ES-SCLC is generally poor, and treatment focuses on providing palliative care. Without chemotherapy, the average survival time is only 8-10 weeks. However, approximately 70-80% of patients respond to chemotherapy, with 15-20% achieving complete responses. The median survival time with standard treatment regimens ranges from 8-11 months. Currently, the standard treatment approach for ES-SCLC involves administering four to six cycles of platinum-based chemotherapy, followed by prophylactic cranial irradiation for patients who respond to treatment. Despite initial response rates of 70-85% and complete response rates of up to 25% after chemotherapy, nearly all patients eventually experience disease relapse.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2023-2033

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 Imdelltra Amgen Phase 2
2 Trilaciclib (G1T28) G1 Therapeutics, Inc. Phase 1
3 IN10018 InxMed (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Phase 2
4 BNT411 BioNTech SE Phase 2
5 RYZ101 RayzeBio, Inc. Phase 1
6 MGC018 MacroGenics Phase 2
7 AK104 Akeso Phase 2
8 AL3810 Haihe Biopharma Co., Ltd. Phase 2
9 LB2102 Legend Biotech USA Inc Phase 1
10 Alisertib Puma Biotechnology, Inc. Phase 2

Continued...

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 18
GERMANY 4
UK 5
SPAIN 4
FRANCE 4
ITALY 4
JAPAN 5
CHINA 5

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast

1.       Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) market scenario 2023
                     1.2.2. Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) market scenario 2028
                     1.2.3. Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) market scenario 2033

2.       Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1.  Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Epidemiology in US (2023-2033)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2.  Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Epidemiology in EU-5 (2023-2033)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3.  Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Epidemiology in Japan (2023-2033)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4.  Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Epidemiology in China (2023-2033)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC)
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer