Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Outlook and Forecast

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033

Published Date : 2023-04-21

Updated On : 2024-03-06

Pages : 156

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2023 To 2033" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Community-Acquired Pneumonia treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Overview

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) denotes an acute infection affecting the pulmonary parenchyma in individuals devoid of recent hospitalization within 14 days and not residing in nursing homes or long-term care facilities. The etiology of CAP encompasses two broad categories: Typical agents (e.g., Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, Staphylococcus aureus, Group A Streptococci, anaerobes, and gram-negative organisms) and Atypical agents (e.g., Legionella, Mycoplasma, Chlamydia pneumoniae, and C. psittaci), with H. influenzae and S. pneumoniae commonly implicated as bacterial causative agents. Pharyngeal colonization by pathogens, followed by micro-aspiration, constitutes the primary mechanism of lower respiratory tract invasion, supplemented by hematogenous dissemination and macro-aspiration. Pneumonia manifests when host pulmonary defenses are compromised or overwhelmed by a substantial pathogen inoculum or virulence. Risk factors for CAP encompass advancing age, chronic comorbidities, notably chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic lung diseases (e.g., bronchiectasis, asthma), chronic heart diseases (particularly congestive heart failure), stroke, diabetes mellitus, malnutrition, and immunocompromising conditions. Viral respiratory tract infections, especially influenza, predispose individuals to primary viral pneumonia and secondary bacterial pneumonia. Impaired airway protection, exemplified by conditions fostering microaspiration of gastric contents or microaspiration of upper airway secretions (e.g., altered consciousness, dysphagia), heightens CAP susceptibility. Modifiable behavioral risk factors include smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, and opioid use. In contrast, socio-environmental factors such as crowded living conditions, low-income settings, and exposure to environmental toxins also contribute to increased CAP risk. The therapeutic approach for outpatient CAP typically involves monotherapy with a macrolide (e.g., erythromycin, azithromycin, or clarithromycin) or doxycycline. However, in the presence of comorbidities such as chronic heart disease (excluding hypertension), chronic lung disease (including COPD and asthma), chronic liver disease, chronic alcohol use disorder, diabetes mellitus, smoking, splenectomy, human immunodeficiency virus (or other forms of immunosuppression), a respiratory fluoroquinolone (e.g., high-dose levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, gemifloxacin) or a combination of oral beta-lactam (e.g., high-dose amoxicillin or amoxicillin-clavulanate, cefuroxime, cefpodoxime) and macrolide is recommended.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2023-2033

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 Trimodulin (BT588) Biotest Phase 3
2 AON-D21 Aptarion Biotech AG Phase 2
3 Delafloxacin Melinta Therapeutics, Inc. Phase 3
4 Raphamin Materia Medica Holding Phase 3
5 CX-4945 Senhwa Biosciences, Inc. Phase 2
6 Nemonoxacin TaiGen Biotechnology Co., Ltd. Phase 3
7 Omadacycline Paratek Pharmaceuticals Inc Phase 3
8 Ceftobiprole in Basilea Pharmaceutica Phase 3
9 CMTX-101 Clarametyx Biosciences, Inc. Phase 1
10 CAL02 Combioxin SA Phase 1

Continued...

KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 17
GERMANY 4
UK 4
SPAIN 3
FRANCE 2
ITALY 3
JAPAN 3
CHINA 4

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast

1.       Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) market scenario 2023
                     1.2.2. Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) market scenario 2028
                     1.2.3. Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) market scenario 2033

2.       Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1.  Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Epidemiology in US (2023-2033)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2.  Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Epidemiology in EU-5 (2023-2033)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3.  Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Epidemiology in Japan (2023-2033)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4.  Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Epidemiology in China (2023-2033)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market Forecast 2023-2033
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP)
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer