Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2021 To 2032

Adult neuronal ceroid lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Outlook and Forecast

Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) – Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2021 To 2032

Published Date : 2021-11-16

Updated On : 2023-09-12

Pages : 160

Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Outlook

Thelansis’s “Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Outlook, Epidemiology, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast Report – 2021 To 2032" covers disease overview, epidemiology, drug utilization, prescription share analysis, competitive landscape, clinical practice, regulatory landscape, patient share, market uptake, market forecast, and key market insights under the potential Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis treatment modalities options for eight major markets (USA, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and China).

Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Overview

Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) constitutes a genetically diverse subgroup within the broader neuronal ceroid lipofuscinoses (NCLs) category. ANCL manifests in the third decade of life, marked by the onset of seizures, dementia, a decline in motor function, and, occasionally, visual impairment stemming from retinal degeneration. The ANCL phenotype was initially designated as CLN4 disease, but the responsible gene has yet to be identified. CLN4 can be inherited in either an autosomal recessive (referred to as CLN4A) or autosomal dominant (referred to as CLN4B) manner. The clinical presentation of ANCL typically involves the emergence of progressive myoclonic epilepsy or behavioral disturbances, followed by dementia and extrapyramidal motor symptoms, all typically appearing between the ages of 20 and 30.

  • The estimated prevalence of ANCL in the general population is approximately 1.5 individuals per 9,000,000.

Geography Covered:

North America- the United States and Canada

Europe- EU5 (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom)

Other countries- Japan & China

Study Period: 2021-2032

Current Clinical Practice and Treatment Algorithm

This section of the study covers country-specific current clinical practice, the standard of care, and significant limitations around addressing the unmet needs. Retrospective analysis and bench-marking of clinical study outcomes are presented in terms of Pre-treatment & post-treatment clinical and demographic patient characteristics. Essentially, this section will cover the evolution of the current competitive landscape and its impact on the future treatment paradigm.

KOL Insights:

KOLs across 8 MM markets from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs

Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

- Data Inputs with sourcing

- Market Event and Product Event

- Country-specific Forecast Model

- Market uptake and patient share uptake

- Attribute Analysis

- Analog Analysis

- Disease burden and pricing scenario

- Summary and Insights

NPV/ IRR Calculator-

Optimization of cash flow/ revenue flow concerning all fixed and variable investments throughout the product development process. The rate of return on an investment is a critical indicator to ensure the profitability and break-even of the project.

Competitive Landscape:

The competitive landscape includes country-specific approved as well as pipeline therapies. Any asset/product-specific designation or review such as Orphan drug designation, Fast track, Priority Review, Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Accelerated Approval are tracked and supplemented with analyst commentary.

Clinical Trial Assessment-

Detailed clinical trial data analysis and critical product positioning include trial design, primary outcomes, secondary outcomes, dosing and schedules, inclusion and exclusion criteria, recruitment status and essentially covers the reported adverse events. Majorly the trial analysis helps determine the potential of the critical assets and their probable filing and launch date.

Unmet Medical Needs Overview-

This report presents the most important clinical unmet needs in the treatment, according to Thelansis research and analysis. Other essential unmet needs identified through our study include decreased cost burden on patients, improved administration convenience, and improved patient compliance.

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Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Competitive Landscape

S. no Asset Company Stage
1 AT-GTX-501 Amicus Therapeutics Phase 2
2 NGN-101 Neurogene Inc. Phase 2
3 RGX-381 REGENXBIO Inc. Phase 2
4 BMN190 BioMarin Pharmaceutical Phase 2

KOLs across 8 MM market from the center of Excellence/ Public/ Private hospitals participated in the study. Insights around current treatment landscape, epidemiology, clinical characteristics, future treatment paradigm, and Unmet needs.

COUNTRY No. Of KOLs
USA 17
GERMANY 4
UK 4
SPAIN 3
FRANCE 2
ITALY 3
JAPAN 3
CHINA 4

Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast: Patient Based Forecast Model (MS. Excel Based Automated Dashboard)

Data Inputs with sourcing, Market Event, Product Event, Country specific Forecast Model, Market uptake and patient share uptake, Attribute Analysis, Analog Analysis, Disease burden, and pricing scenario, Summary, and Insights.

Adult neuronal ceroid lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast

1.       Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) – Key Findings Summary

         1.1.    Clinical findings
                     1.1.1. Disease overview
                     1.1.2. Therapeutic practices
                     1.1.3. Future outlook
         1.2.    Commercial findings
                     1.2.1. Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) market scenario 2021
                     1.2.2. Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) market scenario 2025
                     1.2.3. Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) market scenario 2032

2.       Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Overview

         2.1.    Disease Introduction
         2.2.    Pathophysiology
         2.3.    Signs and Symptoms
         2.4.    Risk Factors
         2.5.    Etiology
         2.6.    Classification
         2.7.    Pathogenesis
         2.8.    Diagnosis
         2.9.    Complications
         2.10. Treatment Algorithm
                     2.10.1.    Treatment in US (guidelines)
                     2.10.2.    Treatment in EU-5 (guidelines)
                     2.10.3.    Treatment in Japan (guidelines)
                     2.10.4.    Treatment in China (guidelines)
         2.11. Treatment Goals for Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
         2.12. Referral Patterns
                     2.12.1.    Referral Scenario in US
                     2.12.2.    Referral Scenario in EU-5
                     2.12.3.    Referral Scenario in Japan
                     2.12.4.    Referral Scenario in China
         2.13. Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Prognosis
         2.14. Healthcare burden
                     2.14.1.    Healthcare burden in US
                     2.14.2.    Healthcare burden in EU-5
                     2.14.3.    Healthcare burden in Japan
                     2.14.4.    Healthcare burden in China
         2.15.  Unmet Needs in Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) management
         2.16.  Market Opportunity for Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
         2.17. KOL Comments on current and upcoming/expected treatment practices in Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)

3.       Epidemiology

         3.1.    Epidemiology Overview
         3.2.    Epidemiology by Geography
                     3.2.1.  Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Epidemiology in US (2021-2032)
                             3.2.1.1.              Incidence of Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
                             3.2.1.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.1.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.1.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.2.  Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Epidemiology in EU-5 (2021-2032)
                             3.2.2.1.              Incidence of Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
                             3.2.2.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.2.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.2.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.3.  Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Epidemiology in Japan (2021-2032)
                             3.2.3.1.              Incidence of Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
                             3.2.3.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.3.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.3.4.              Epidemiology Trends
                     3.2.4.  Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Epidemiology in China (2021-2032)
                             3.2.4.1.              Incidence of Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
                             3.2.4.2.              Diagnosed cases
                             3.2.4.3.              Treatable Patient Pool
                             3.2.4.4.              Epidemiology Trends
         3.3.    Epidemiology Trends (World-wide)

4.       Market Outlook

         4.1.    US Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.1.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.1.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.1.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.1.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.1.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.1.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.2.    UK Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.2.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.2.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.2.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.2.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.2.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.2.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.3.    France Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.3.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.3.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.3.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.3.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.3.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.3.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.4.    Germany Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.4.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.4.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.4.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.4.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.4.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.4.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.5.    Italy Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.5.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.5.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.5.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.5.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.5.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.5.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.6.    Spain Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.6.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.6.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.6.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.6.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.6.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.6.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.7.    Japan Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.7.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.7.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.7.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.7.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.7.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.7.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.8.    China Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market Forecast 2021-2032
                     4.8.1. Market Progression (Futuristic)
                     4.8.2. Market Trends and Expectations
                             4.8.2.1.              Worst case scenario
                             4.8.2.2.              Base Case Scenario
                             4.8.2.3.              Best Case Scenario
                     4.8.3. Drivers and Barriers
         4.9.    Key Expected Milestones (world-wide) Impacting the Market

5.       Competitive Landscape

         5.1.    Pipeline Therapies Overview
                     5.1.1. Phase III Therapies
                                      5.1.1.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.1.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.1.3.                     Approval Timeline
                                      5.1.1.4.                     Likelihood of approval
                                      5.1.1.5.                     Expected Product Positioning
                             5.1.1.2.              All other Phase III Therapies …..
                             5.1.1.3.              Attribute Analysis of Phase III molecules
                     5.1.2.  Phase II and Phase I/II Therapies
                                      5.1.2.1.                     Current Status
                                      5.1.2.2.                     Trial details, results
                                      5.1.2.3.                     Approval Timelines
                     5.1.3. List of active Pre-clinical Therapies
                                      5.1.3.1.                     Status in Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
                                      5.1.3.2.                     Company positioning
                             5.1.3.2.              All other pre-clinical therapies
                     5.1.4. List of Inactive/discontinued assets
                             5.1.4.1.              Business impact of discontinuations on current pipeline
                     5.1.5. Potential winners from Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Pipeline
                             5.1.5.1.              Potential Blockbusters across the pipeline

6.       Regulatory/Approval Scenario

         6.1.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in US
                     6.1.1. Policy Framework
                     6.1.2. Payer Expectations
         6.2.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in UK
                     6.2.1. Policy Framework
                     6.2.2. Payer Expectations
         6.3.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in France
                     6.3.1. Policy Framework
                     6.3.2. Payer Expectations
         6.4.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Germany
                     6.4.1. Policy Framework
                     6.4.2. Payer Expectations
         6.5.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Italy
                     6.5.1. Policy Framework
                     6.5.2. Payer Expectations
         6.6.    Regulatory/Approval Framework in Spain
                     6.6.1. Policy Framework
                     6.6.2. Payer Expectations
         6.7.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in Japan
                     6.7.1. Policy Framework
                     6.7.2. Payer Expectations
         6.8.       Regulatory/Approval Framework in China
                     6.8.1. Policy Framework
                     6.8.2. Payer Expectations

7.       Clinical Trial Assessment – Current and Future Paradigm

         7.1.    Distribution of Primary Endpoints across trials
         7.2.    Distribution of Secondary Endpoints across trials
         7.3.    Evolution and acceptance of surrogate endpoints
         7.4.    Key Investigator initiated trials
         7.5.    Attrition analysis
                     7.5.1. Suspended/Discontinued Assets
                     7.5.2. Failed Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.3. Terminated Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
                     7.5.4. Withdrawn Trials, Reasons and Business Impact
         7.6.    Trial enrollment scenario and challenges
         7.7.    Clinical Trial Guidance (across geographies)

8.       Thelansis Commentary

         8.1.    Key Unmet needs in Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL)
         8.2.    Possible Best-case Clinical Trial Strategies
         8.3.    Possible Best Case Targeted Product Profile (TPP)
         8.4.    Possible Best-case Market positioning strategies
         8.5.    Possible Best-case Market Access Strategies
         8.6.    Possible Best-case LCM Strategies
         8.7.    Overall View on Adult Neuronal Ceroid Lipofuscinosis (ANCL) Market in Dollar Value

9.       Report Methodology

         9.1.    Secondary research
         9.2.    Primary research
         9.3.    Data collation
         9.4.    Insight Generation

10.   About Thelansis

         10.1.    Our Capabilities
         10.2.    Our Services
         10.3.    Our Contacts
         10.4.    Disclaimer